- By Best Solar Company PK
- 22 Aug, 2026
- Energy Savings
- 8 min read
The government's proposed **winter relief package** — a cut of up to **Rs8 per unit** on electricity for the three coldest months (December to February) — has every homeowner asking the same question: if grid power is about to get cheaper, should I still install solar in 2026, or wait?
Short answer: the winter relief package is real but narrow, temporary, and still pending IMF sign-off. It barely touches the maths that make **solar payback in Pakistan** attractive. If anything, a bigger 2026 change — the shift to **net billing** — is the reason to lock in your system sooner rather than later.
Let's break down the numbers honestly.
What the Rs8/unit winter relief package actually is
According to reporting on the plan, the proposed **winter package** would lower electricity prices by up to **Rs8 per unit** for a three-month window (Dec–Feb). But there are three catches every consumer should understand:
- **It's pending IMF approval.** The proposal must first clear the International Monetary Fund, then NEPRA, then the federal cabinet before it becomes real. Under Pakistan's $7 billion Extended Fund Facility, untargeted power subsidies are exactly what the IMF has pushed to phase out.
- **It rewards extra consumption, not your base bill.** The scheme is designed to encourage people to *use more* off-peak winter electricity (to soak up surplus capacity), with relief tilted toward incremental usage and industrial consumers. It is not a flat Rs8 off every unit you already consume.
- **It lasts 90 days.** After February, tariffs revert. Solar, by contrast, keeps working for 25 years.
A three-month, consumption-linked discount that still needs IMF sign-off is a seasonal promotion — not a structural drop in the price of power. Your solar payback is calculated over decades, not one winter.
Why winter is the weakest season for solar savings anyway
Here's the part most "wait and see" advice misses: winter is when solar saves you the *least*, and the grid is already cheapest. Your real pain — and your biggest solar savings — come in the **April-to-September** stretch, when air conditioners run, sun hours peak, and bills cross Rs50,000–Rs100,000+ for many households.
A cheaper grid for three low-consumption winter months does almost nothing to the nine high-bill months that drive your return on investment. In practice, a typical Lahore or Karachi home already spends far more on summer cooling than on winter heating, so the relief lands where your bill is smallest.
The change that really matters in 2026: net billing
While everyone watches the winter relief package, NEPRA has quietly made a far more consequential move for solar economics. For **new rooftop solar consumers**, the regulator has shifted from the old one-to-one **net metering** to a **net billing** model. The key changes:
- The buyback rate for surplus units exported to the grid was cut sharply — from around **Rs25.32/unit** to about **Rs8.13/unit** for new consumers.
- Imported units are billed at the full slab tariff, while exports are bought at the lower rate — they're no longer treated as equal.
- The agreement term dropped from **7 years to 5 years**.
- Systems up to **25kW** now require registration/licensing with NEPRA.
You can read the regulator's notifications directly on the NEPRA website. The takeaway is simple: **the rules for exporting solar power are tightening, not loosening.** Existing consumers were grandfathered at older, better rates — which is precisely why installing *before* the next revision protects your economics.
Running the real payback numbers (2026 prices)
Let's put concrete PKR figures against a common setup. Prices below reflect 2026 market rates for on-grid systems with net metering/net billing setup included.
| System | Typical 2026 price (PKR) | Best for | Rough monthly bill offset | Simple payback | |---|---|---|---|---| | 5 kW on-grid | 600,000 – 800,000 | Small home, ~Rs30–45k bill | Rs25,000 – 40,000 | ~2.5–4 years | | 10 kW on-grid | 1,400,000 – 1,800,000 | Large home / small shop | Rs55,000 – 90,000 | ~3–5 years | | 10 kW hybrid + battery | 1,900,000 – 2,300,000 | Load-shedding backup needed | Rs55,000 – 90,000 + backup | ~4–6 years |
Even under the reduced net billing buyback rate, self-consumption — using your own solar power in real time instead of buying from the grid — is where the savings live. A well-sized system in Pakistan still pays for itself in roughly **3 to 5 years**, then delivers 15–20 more years of near-free daytime power.
Now weigh that against the winter relief: even in a generous scenario, Rs8/unit off a modest winter bill might save a household a few thousand rupees across three months — once. That is a rounding error next to a multi-lakh lifetime solar saving.
So should you wait or install now?
Install now — for three practical reasons:
1. **The relief is temporary and unconfirmed.** You cannot build a 25-year decision around a 90-day discount that hasn't cleared the IMF. 2. **Net billing terms keep tightening.** Every revision so far has cut export rates. Locking in current terms protects your payback. 3. **Solar hedges against the real trend.** Pakistan's base tariffs have risen for years; brief relief packages don't reverse that. Your own generation is the only price you actually control.
If you're still comparing options, our guides on choosing the right solar system size and understanding net metering vs net billing walk through the details for your exact bill.
Frequently Asked Questions
**Is the Rs8/unit winter relief package confirmed?** Not yet. As of 2026 it is a proposal pending IMF approval, followed by NEPRA and federal cabinet sign-off. It targets three months (Dec–Feb) and leans toward rewarding extra/off-peak consumption and industrial users rather than cutting every unit on your base bill.
**Will cheaper winter electricity increase my solar payback period?** Only marginally. Winter is your lowest-consumption, cheapest-grid season, so a temporary discount there has little effect on the summer bills that drive solar savings. A quality 5–10kW system in Pakistan still pays back in roughly 3–5 years.
**Should I wait for the winter package before installing solar?** No. The package is short-term and unconfirmed, while net billing rules for new solar consumers are getting stricter. Installing now locks in current terms and starts your savings during the next high-bill summer.
**What is net billing and how is it different from net metering?** Under old net metering, exported units offset imported units one-to-one. Under net billing, imports are charged at full tariff while exports are bought at a lower buyback rate (around Rs8.13/unit for new consumers). This makes self-consumption more important than exporting surplus.
The bottom line
The **winter relief package** is welcome, but it's a seasonal, IMF-dependent discount — not a reason to postpone a 25-year investment. With net billing tightening and summer tariffs still high, the smartest 2026 move is to **install solar now**, size it for self-consumption, and let it work through Pakistan's expensive months. Get a free, no-obligation load assessment from **Best Solar Company PK** and see your exact payback before the next tariff revision lands.
Best Solar Company PK designs and installs reliable solar systems in Rawalpindi, Islamabad, Lahore, Multan, Taunsa Sharif and Karachi. Contact us for a free survey and the best advice for your home or business.








